Minting Words: Why Central Banks Develop CBDCs
with Léo Malherbe
Abstract ▸
With L. Malherbe (UPJV)
Central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) have moved rapidly from a niche policy discussion to a central issue in contemporary monetary policy. Yet the speed and unevenness of CBDC development remain puzzling, especially since central banks are typically cautious institutions facing political, reputational, and institutional constraints. This paper studies why central banks develop CBDCs by examining how they communicate about them. We assemble a new cross-country corpus of 1,390 CBDC-related speeches from 94 central banks over 2013 to 2023, yielding 8,129 sentence-level mentions. Using a transformer-based topic model, we identify 31 topics and group them into five broader motivations: responses to cryptocurrencies and private digital currencies, financial inclusion, monetary policy, payment systems, and project management. We then estimate how institutional, political, and regulatory conditions shape the likelihood that each motivation is emphasized in central bank communication. We extend the analysis by linking these communication patterns to countries’ stages of CBDC advancement, using CBDC Tracker data to study the mechanisms through which stated motivations translate into policy progress.



